providers by 30%, based on diversion programs in other cities. There are also opportunities to provide additional housing support, where housing support is currently “light”, in particular, the Downtown Mission. The estimates below assume that this could further reduce demand for shelter for this service provider by 15%. With these changes in how services are provided, it is estimated that total average demand per night could be reduced to approximately 121 beds. The distribution by client group is 59 single adult males, 31 single adult females, 11 youth, and 20 families. It should be noted, however, that demand from youth is likely to be higher than 11 if a youth specific shelter were established.

Current and Future Shelter Need Based on Current Demand and Potential Impact of Additional Supports

  Current Demand Estimated Demand with Diversion Across System and Additional Housing Support Where it is Light* Estimated Bed Need With Recommended 80% Avg. Occupancy
Single Adult Male  75 47 59
Single Adult Female  32 25 31
Youth 12 9** 11**
Families 19 16 20
Total 138 97 121

*assumes 30% diversion where not currentlyor fully implemented (i.e. Salvation Army, Downtown Mission), and 15% reduction in demand with additional housing support, where housing support is "light" (i.e. Downtown Mission)

**demand likelyto be higher if a youth shelter existed

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